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Tuesday, February 7, 2023

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Omicron following epidemiological pattern of the second wave

As Omicron is a new virus that is different from Delta or previous variants in terms of evolution, experts believe the third wave will mainly follow the migratory pattern of the previous second waves. Bengaluru has recorded an average of 79% of cases documented daily in the state since the increase began on December 29.

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Omicron is now in major cities, and it will spread to districts and eventually the outskirts in three weeks. This may result in a slightly longer exit from the current wave than expected. Bengaluru peaked on April 30, if the second wave is any indication. Following that, its market share began to decline.

The net effect of Omicron provides little conclusive evidence about how the wave will pan out. It took another five days for the state to reach its peak, at which point it was responsible for 40% of all new cases. The virus’s pathophysiology has changed fundamentally, distinguishing it from previous variations.

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